Brisket prices should be slowing dropping soon

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Brisket Prices Tumbling

by Daniel Vaughn · April 29, 2015





The wholesale cost of brisket has been increasing, sometimes dramatically, since 2013. Now, it seems to be tumbling from its peak. Back in mid-January the wholesale price for whole briskets (IMPS 120) was $3.59/lb and this week it has dropped to $2.74/lb. That’s the lowest price for brisket in over a year.
Image from BeefRetail.org

It’ll take some time for retail prices to reflect the drop, but one food supplier in Texas has seen them come down quite a bit since their company’s peak in early February:
$3.09/lb – Select (down from $3.80)
$3.20/lb – Choice (down from $3.95)
$3.45/lb – CAB (down from $4.11)
$3.87/lb – Prime (down from $5.05)
I wrote about The End of Cheap Beef in January. Brisket might be down since then, but the price for beef overall still hasn’t decreased significantly this year. An average pound of Choice beef is still hovering near it’s peak at $2.42/lb, so why is brisket getting cheaper?
Gary Morrison, a beef market reporter for Urner Barry, noted two factors in an email conversation. “We have not seen the burst in interest for barbecue heading into the demand period that we saw last year.” Meaning there haven’t been the big buy-ups of briskets as we saw in the first quarter of 2014 from big restaurant chains like Arby’s. Morrison also notes that “there are unconfirmed rumors a major QSR [quick serve restaurant] has lessened buying as promotions come near an end. As with the rise up, factual or not these impact behavior.” Maybe Arby’s won’t be so bullish on brisket this year, and that’s a win for independent barbecue joints everywhere.
 
Great news...sucks that I couldn't fit a rack of baby backs in my freezer if I wanted to.
 
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Glad to see the trend moving in the right direction. Brisket prices here in New Braunfels have peaked at $3.59 and have been as low as $2.48 at our local Walmart. There was a time that we could get brisket for $1.79 and as little as $1.59 per lb. about 2 years ago. Hope we see those numbers again.
 
That would be lovely. I've been buying lots of prime from Costco and I would probably do it more often if the prices keep dropping. Can't get enough brisket!
 
I have seen the prime briskets at Costco drop a little lately. I have seen them as high as $4.09 and they hovered at $3.89 for awhile now they are at $3.69. I'd love to see it around 3 bucks or less. Found some nice st Louis ribs the other day at the local grocery for 1.99 which is GREAT from what I have seen lately so I loaded up. Smoked a rack last Sunday and they came out great.
 
OUCH! ok, I have traditionally had a hard time finding whole packers at my local stores and have bought the last 2 from a butcher shop @ $5 per pound and it is CHOICE. guess I should spend a bit more time shopping around...
 
“We have not seen the burst in interest for barbecue heading into the demand period that we saw last year.” Meaning there haven’t been the big buy-ups of briskets as we saw in the first quarter of 2014 from big restaurant chains like Arby’s.


So basically the high price of brisket was Big Mista's fault For doing the Arby commercial :shock:
 
I'll believe it when I see it. Demand is still very high, I hope it happens.
 
I cant even get – Choice, CAB, or Prime for Pete sake and my prices still suck in Ohio
 
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